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Peter Lambri's avatar

“Nigel Farage has been and is, the Marine Le Pen of British politics.” (I’ll come back to this quote)

There is nothing, Jack, in today’s newsletter with which a sane person could take issue. Whilst reading it, my inner voice shouted out “James Cleverly”; “Rory Stewart”.

But given the short term horizon of politicians, what can the Tories do when they are so discredited that the usual interval of opposition to allow new leaders and plausible (and sane!) policies to emerge is just not available to them? In the sense of the party still retaining a respectable size in the Commons,

It is not available, some say, because of strategies outside their control: such as that Starmer, who, according to some, is pursuing the strategy of pitching the next election as a straight choice between him and Farage. That when it comes to it, the electorate will not vote for a Reform govt. This is the so-called Macron strategy, (not coined by me) used to effect in France to prevent Le Pen from gaining power. But she and her cohorts are proving quite pesky! But in a first-past-the-post system, this analogy is flimsy. In other words, careful what you wish for! Labour has already proved that you can win with historically low percentages.

And so we come to my quote which began this. I think he is! In the sense that, he’ll be around gnawing at the ankles of him or her-to-come. Even if he does not form a govt in 2028-29, he’ll say Reform has come a long way….and….er….the best is yet to come! QED?

Where are the Tories then?

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